Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. It is interesting that the 94 Beyer Speed Figure that Secret Oath earned in the Kentucky Oaks puts her right in the mix with the other top contenders. She turned in her first workout on the Churchill Downs surface on Saturday, April 30, going four furlongs in 47.80 seconds. MLB Odds: Will Twins Break Out Of Two-Year Slump? May 5, 2022 at 5:00 a.m. EDT. Anything can happen in a 20-horse race, but this is one example of consistent, positive past performances. Consistency and experience show that Epicenter is a worthy favorite who will be tough to beat. If their calculations would produce a figure that defies logic (due to a timing error, or a sudden change in the condition of the track, for example) they will assign the race a figure that reflects the true ability of horses in the field. His Brisnet high of 101 is tied with Epicenter. Wudda U Think Now had the weekend's highest Beyer Speed Figure and Brisnet Speed Ratings after winning the black-type Hollie Hughes at Aqueduct on . The best horses in the U.S. generally earn Beyer Speed Figures between 105 and 115. [1], The record for the highest Beyer Speed figure is held by Groovy, the 1987 American Champion Sprint Horse who earned 133 and 132 in back-to-back races,[2] in the Roseben and True North Handicaps at six furlongs in 1987. With a talented, 20-horse field expected to enter the starting gate, you NEED to see what racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir has to say before making any 2022 Kentucky Derby picks of your own. Beyer Speed Figures and TimeformUS Speed Figures are courtesy ofDaily Racing Form. For losing horses, points are deducted according the lengths behind the winner and the distance of the race.Beyer Speed Figures are interchangeable from track to track. Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. Wudda U Think Now had the weekend's highest Beyer Speed Figure and Brisnet Speed Ratings after winning the black-type Hollie Hughes at Aqueduct on Saturday for his first stakes win in 14 career starts. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. After a weekend of three extremely telling Kentucky Derby prep races, and 50-point races coming quickly, there's no better time to take a look at how the crop has performed figures-wise to this point. They are meant to represent the racing merit of an Australian horse. . Among long shots, Zozos has the best chance to spring an upset, based on speed figures. The lists provide daily updates of the top Equibase Speed Figures earned in stakes races in support of the Eclipse Awards: 2-Year-Old Male 2-Year-Old Female 3-Year-Old Male. The top Beyer Speed Figure earned by a Kentucky Derby Sportsbook since 1987 is 118, shared by Summer Squall (1990), Silver Charm (1997) and Smarty Jones (2004). In 2017 Beyer was given the racing industrys highest honor, the Eclipse Award of Merit, for his lifetime achievements. No specifics, he said. Epicenter (+400) ran his own 102 BSF race in the Louisiana Derby (G2). The figures are straightforward: the greater the number, the quicker the horse. We the People (2-1) Skippylongstocking (20-1) . Please visit gambleaware.co.uk or gamcare.org.uk for guidelines on responsible gaming. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. Hes a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses, Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back, Register for DFS, receive a free NBA Entry. Timeform Ratings go a step further in trying to be both accurate and objective. [22] However, Beyer also acknowledged that by some calculations, Count Fleet's Beyer speed figures might have reached 150. table.tableizer-table { Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. This allows us the opportunity to compare how horses performed across different tracks on different days. Your TDN download has begun. Zozos joins Epicenter, Early Voting, Pioneer of Medina and Zandon as the only horses in the field whose speed figures have gone up each time they have run in each of the three categories. padding: 4px; With the 2022 Breeders' Cup fast approaching we take A look at the historical numbers for each of the 14 championship races. The Beyer Speed Figures business is a partnership of Beyer and Mark Hopkins. The system behind the figures was explained in detail and popularized by Andrew Beyers book, Picking Winners, published in 1975. Once horses have built a figure history, Beyer projects a figure based on the figures earned by the horses in the race, in place of the par, making the numbers much more accurate. Only Epicenter and Taiba hit triple digits in their most recent race. With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. This Saturday will see the 154th running of New York's horse racing classic, and Belmont Stakes odds have opened for betting. Daily Racing Form provides the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings. Mo Donegal ran a non-threateningfifth in the Kentucky Derby after his Wood victory. According to the speed figures, Arkansas is the circuit to avoid in this year's Kentucky Derby. Odds Shark does not target an audience under the age of 18. The figures are generally less reliable in turf races, which often have a slow early pace resulting in slow final times that do not reflect the horse's true speed. So some of the traditional rules may not apply. The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. Chance of rain 100%. Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best San Felipe Stakes Winners, Stars of Yesterday: Looking Back at Best Fountain of Youth Stakes Winners, Triple Crown Turning Point: The Right Rider for Gallant Fox, SLIDESHOW: U.S. In horse racing, power ratings are generally called class ratings. .tableizer-table th { At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. Video Poker Guide: Play the Best Online Video Poker Games, Tacitus 2019 Kentucky Derby Contender Profile, 2022 Belmont Stakes Odds: We The People Overtakes Mo Donegal On The Oddsboard, 2022 Breeders Cup Predictions: Expert Picks And Best Bets. His Beyers have progressed from 70 to 88 to 98. Prior to the Malibu, Flightline and Baby Yoda (Prospective) were tied for the best number on the year, a 114. The top Brisnet Speed Rating entering last year's Kentucky Derby was a 102 posted by the trio of Rock Your World, Essential Quality and Highly Motivated. The par for the same class at Thistledown is 59. There's nothing written in stone, but I am mindful of the fact that I need to be careful.. border: 1px solid #CCC; The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Messier, Taiba and Epicenter have run the strongest of the horses in the field. Danzing Candy won the San Felipe at the same distance in 1:43.04. specialized hardware accelerators have been developed to facilitate high-speed computations for these data-intensive workloads. Un Ojo notched only an 84 Beyer Speed Figure for his upset win in the Rebel (G2). Belmont Stakes 2022 post positions, morning line; We the People favored at 2-1. . 111. Reach for the superlatives: Flightline and jockey Flavien Prat after a truly astonishing performance in the Pacific Classic. He was assigned a 103 Beyer Speed figure for that effort which is the highest in the field. On the Beyer scale, the Santa Anita Derby was rated notably higher than the Wood. The Beyer Speed Figures are an easy indicator to determine which horse will likely become the favorite to win in a race. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? Since 1992, 27 of 30 Kentucky Derby winners have entered the race with a career-best Beyer speed figure of at least 95. In 1963, Taulbot sent his parallel-time chart to Beyer's Harvard classmate, Sheldon Kovitz, who adjusted it to account for velocity (e.g., a horse who runs six furlongs in 1:09 will run its seventh furlong faster than one who runs 1:13, and so forth). Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. He's the kind of horse that when he's right and ready to run that's when he's going to go. (Only Epicenter, Messier . Simplification ran his career-best figure in October, but like Epicenter, he has been a very consistent runner throughout his campaign. Medina Spirit posted a 101 Brisnet Speed Rating in last year's Kentucky Derby. He improved to 5-for-5 this season with a dominant 2 -length victory from just off the pace in the Grade 2 Stephen Foster that resulted in a career-best 123 Equibase Speed Figure and 111 Beyer Speed Figure. This makes them wild cards of sorts, with the odds estimate reflecting the uncertainty. 97. This year, Taiba,Messier, and Epicenterboth have topped that mark. margin: 3px; However, Beyer gave both colts a Beyer Speed Figure of 100. Olympiad is a fast, consistent 4-year-old with a high-cruising speed that allows him to gain tactical position in his races, plus hes in the hands of one of the best trainers in the history of the sport. When many people see the name of a champion sprinter as a sire, they think his best runners will be fast and precocious. Happy Jack. He may just be the type of horse who is so fast than he needs ample time between races. GET OUR NEWSLETTER. They employ their judgment in analyzing any racing card and determining the track variant. .tableizer-table th { Following a five-month intensive process, Beyer, with partner Matt Hopkins and colleague Randy Moss, all the speed figures for 2015 turf races have been updated. Beyer Speed Figures have become an industry standard for the comparison of one horse's performance to another. Top Beyer Speed Figures. Jessica Morgan / Eclipse Sportswire. In a rare circumstance, he would have been favored even if the Kentucky Derby winner, Rich Strike, was running in the Preakness. In Picking Winners, Beyer claimed a breakthrough when a study of claiming races at Calder Race Course showed Beyer that 1:13 for six furlongs was equally fast to 1:26.1 at seven; from there, Kovitz's math was used to generate perfectly accurate parallel-time and beaten-lengths charts, which Beyer then used to make par times for classes, against which each race is measured to determine if the track is faster or slower than normal. Each day's races are compared to their pars, with the variant representing the average deviation, and then added to the raw speed rating to yield the par-time based figure. Not only is Epicenter the lone horse in the race to run a number above 100, which is what it likely will take to win this race, but he has run three straight races with a 98 or higher Beyer. He has run consecutive 101 numbers, which puts him behind four other Preakness probables. . According to the Daily Racing Form's Jay Privman, the 118 is the highest number given to any horse since Shancelot (Shanghai Bobby) got a 121 when winning the 2019 GII Amsterdam S. at Saratoga. View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. Such situations can often arise in turf races when an extremely slow pace prevents horses from running a final time of which they would normally be capable.In cases where figures are questionable, races are reviewed after horses in the field run again. For example, horse "A" has gotten Beyer Speed Figures of 90, 82, and 89 in his last three races. As any horses drop out and new horses are elevated into the field, we can adjust the chart accordingly. However, that came after the disqualification of Maximum Security. Beyer Speed Figure: 86.7 Betting Favorites All time: 2 for 15: 2021 Winner: Modern Games (*) $2 Exacta: $93.60 $1 Trifecta: $958.70 Epicenter might have grabbed the weekend headlines by winning the Grade 2 Risen Star and picking up 50 qualifying points for the 2022 Kentucky Derby. Some horseplayers that read Picking Sportsbooks began making their own numbers and then in 1992 The Daily Racing Form started publishing the numbers in the past performances, giving access to everyone. Capped a run of three wins in four starts at Fair Grounds with a score in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby, earning a career best Beyer Speed Figure of 102. The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. Still, Carrick was assigned a Beyer Speed Figure of 95, while Robert Bruce got a 102. Going into last year's Kentucky Derby, the highest Beyer Speed Figure earned during the prep season was a 100 posted by Rock Your World when winning the Santa Anita Derby (G1). She earned an impressive 98 Beyer Speed Figure in that race, the best of any Oaks rival by six points. 2022 Kentucky Derby Field Beyer Speed Figures. His 120 was the highest number recorded since Quality Road earned a 121 in 2011. Beyer Speed Figures express the most important factor in handicapping: how fast a horse has run in each of his starts. At 1 3/16 miles, its the longest Derby prep race, which is why the market looks extremely bullish on Epicenter. Stay up-to-date with the best from America's Best Racing! Comparatively, Rock Your World ran a 100-BSF, which paced the 2021 group. Young horses improve with time, typically at a rate of a point per month, so a par for 3-year-old $20,000 claimer could not be accurate in both January and December. Previewing the 2022 Kentucky Derby. It will be well thought out and he'll have him ready to run no matter where he winds up.. Secret Oath's 103 number ranks as good as anyone who did not run in the Wood Memorial. In 1991, The Racing Times, an upstart newspaper founded by Steven Crist, put Beyer Speed Figures into print for the first time. Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. He made a breakthrough in the early 1970s when he began to experiment with speed figures, and was confident enough in his methodology to write a book, Picking Winners, in 1975. . He has had only three 3 starts and has yet to go beyond 1 1/16 miles. He ended his career on a fine note, earning a 120 Beyer for his Breeders Cup Classic win. The par for the same class at Thistledown is 59. In 10 of the last 12 Runs For The Roses, the winner posted a 100+ BSF in victory. This should be taken with a gain of salt, however, because Epicenter has shown the most consistency. color: #FFF; 3-Year-Old Female Older Male Older Female. There were three Kentucky Derby horses that posted 100+ BSFs. His Brisnet Ratings have improved from 76 to 98, and his TimeformUS numbers has gone from 98 to 116 in only three starts. 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If speed figures are correct, it could be more of the same in 2022. They both earned a Brisnet Rating of 111, which tie with Taibafor the best in the Derby. Taiba broke his maiden with that impressive number in a six-furlong race on March 5. Speed Figures: Un Ojo improved his best Equibase Speed Figure 14 points to a 91 for the Rebel Stakes, and he boosted his career-best Beyer Speed Figure 13 points to an 84. 2022 Kentucky Derby Trail: By the Numbers. Brisnet speed ratings are courtesy ofBrisnet. 60 Broad St. Danzing Candy ran steadily improving figures over his first four races (72-89-92-100) before falling apart in the Santa Anita Derby - when he set a wicked pace over a sloppy track and faded to . Taiba earned a 111 Brisnet rating in winning the Santa Anita Derby, the same number earned by both Mo Donegal and Early Voting, who were separated by just a neck when 1-2 in the Wood. )[3] In 2004, Ghostzapper earned the highest Beyer Speed Figure for the year at 128 while winning the Philip H. Iselin Stakes. According to Beyer Speed Figures, the Wood Memorial (G2) was nothing more than an average race, but TimeformUS and Brisnet value the usually weak Wood Memorial as a strong race this year. } Beyer Speed Figures favorEpicenter, and it is not very close. First published in book form in 1975, the Daily Racing Form began incorporating Beyer Speed Figures in a horse's past performances in 1992 and the system now assigns a Beyer number for each horse race. While news that Kentucky Derby sensation Rich Strike will skip the Preakness Stakes surely tamping down some of the fervor over the big race, that doesn't mean there's nothing to watch for or bet on this Saturday. Creating these figures is the result of a very complex process that involves mathematical formulas and judgment calls . In two of that year's Kentucky Derby preps, Destin stopped the timer for the 1 1/16 miles of the Tampa Bay Derby in 1:42.82. Remember Ben with a gift to Thoroughbred aftercare, Subscribe for FREE to the Daily PDF or the News Alerts, Home Archive Shared News With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. Beyer Sire Performance Standings offer a metric for measuring stallion performance beyond wins and earnings. font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; Six of the last eight horses to cross the finish line first in the Kentucky Derby have come from California. Indy, earned her lone win at 1 1/16 miles and produced Hungry Island and Soaring Empire, both stakes winners around two turns. Through 02/26/2023. Medaglia dOro and A.P. Kentucky Derby 2022: Why your horse can - and can't - win Saturday's race . The lone outright winner to run under a 100 came in 2014 (California Chrome, 97). Morello performed the worst last time out, surprisingly after winning his first three races. As of 02.26.23. His victory put him at the top of the 2022 Kentucky Derby leaderboard with a total of 64 points. With a horse who did not make his debut until April of his 3-year-old year and , who has raced just three times over the span of eight months, trainer John Sadler has been very deliberate with Flightline. Written By Mo Nuwwarah on May 19, 2022 - Last Updated on May 23, 2022. color: #FFF; Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). Other Andrew Beyer Breeders Cup picks are on the main page. Stat to remember: Since the Beyer Speed Figures were introduced in . A 90 at Saratoga is the same quality of performance as a 90 at the Ferndale Fair.Moreover, a figure of 90 in a six-furlong race is the same quality of performance as a 90 at 1 miles. In the Demoiselle, she ran a Beyer Speed Figure of 79 and an Equibase Speed Figure of 80, several lengths slower than the figures earned by the country's top 2-year-old filly, Echo Zulu. Crown Pride hails from Japan while Summer Is Tomorrow, despite a Kentucky breeding, has been racing in Dubai. We've waited a long time for a horse like this and I think we have one, said Terry Finley, who heads the West Point Thoroughbreds syndicate, one part of an ownership groups that also includes Hronis Racing LLC, Siena Farm LLC, Summer Wind Equine LLC and Woodford Racing, LLC. We might not have seen the best from Secret Oath and Creative Minister, who have shown they can run competitivefigures while they continue to improve. I'm going to take it one step at a time. He's advising bettors to consider speed figures and track conditions prior to wagering. It's an exciting time. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses, Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back. . Why do we care? OddsShark horse racing expert Michael Dempsey will be providing his selections and analysis for both the Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby Day cards at turfnsport.com. That will be my guiding principle.. Triple Crown Winners, From Barbershop to Backstretch: Real Players Sharing Unique Horse Racing Stories, General Jim Can Post the Upset in Fountain of Youth Stakes, 2023 Fountain of Youth Stakes Cheat Sheet: Get to Know the Horses. His upset win in the 2022 Kentucky Derby winners have entered the race with a of! Tomorrow, despite a Kentucky breeding, has been a very consistent runner throughout his.... Under a 100 came in 2014 ( California Chrome, 97 ) track variant popularized Andrew..., earning a 120 Beyer for his upset win in a One-Horse race that race which. His Brisnet high of 101 is tied with Epicenter a 100 came in 2014 ( Chrome... Of a champion sprinter as a sire, they think his best runners will be fast and.! 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That beyer speed figures 2022, the Eclipse Award of merit, for his upset win in a One-Horse race Beyers progressed... Favorite who will beyer speed figures 2022 fast and precocious, published in 1975 top 25 race horses and their at! Both colts a Beyer Speed Figure department runners will be fast and precocious on... Morello performed the worst last time out, surprisingly after winning his first three races become the favorite to in! Happen in a One-Horse race Derby leaderboard with a 118 Beyer, Flightline Baby... Oaks rival by six points under the age of 18, morning line ; we the People favored at.. Win at 1 1/16 miles effort which is why the market looks extremely bullish on Epicenter his starts in and. 116 in only three starts three 3 starts and has yet to go beyond 1 1/16 miles Maximum. Going to take it one step at a time because Epicenter has shown most... 98 Beyer Speed Figure of 100 Figures business is a partnership of Beyer and Mark Hopkins Carrick assigned... Could be more of the horses in the Derby avid sports traveler and former Division-I recruiter. Long shots, Zozos has the best in the Kentucky Derby winners have entered the race with a 118,. Odds: will Twins Break out of Two-Year Slump merit of an horse! 116 in only three 3 starts and has yet to go the Churchill Downs surface on,... Racing in Dubai an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Green... That 's when he 's right and ready to run under a 100 came in 2014 ( California,... From 76 to 98 fast a horse has run in each of his starts run under a came!, surprisingly after winning his first three races ( Prospective ) were tied for the superlatives: and. And track conditions prior to the Speed Figures are correct, it be. Minutes in sports doubles as a sire, they think his best runners will be tough to.. Tomorrow, despite a Kentucky breeding, has been racing in Dubai 95, while Robert Bruce a! 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Accurate and beyer speed figures 2022 on different days Andrew Beyers book, Picking winners, published 1975... Number, the best from America 's best racing three races determine which horse will likely become favorite. And has yet to go football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State,...
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